Last year’s best, worst NFL betting teams


As we prep for the 2022 NFL season, one space price maintaining a tally of is betting tendencies from the 2021 season. Whereas coaches and personnel have modified for a lot of groups, it stays a worthwhile train. Which groups had been essentially the most worthwhile towards the unfold (ATS), and which groups went beneath on the highest price?

We’ll dive in and likewise circle a number of Week 1 video games that stick out off these tendencies, simply in case they carry over into the recent season.

Greatest groups ATS

  1. Dallas Cowboys (13-5)
  2. Cincinnati Bengals (14-7)
  3. Inexperienced Bay Packers (12-6)
  4. Detroit Lions (11-6)
  5. San Francisco 49ers (12-8)

The Lions are the lone outlier right here, as the opposite 4 groups all made the postseason. Jared Goff is again as quarterback for Detroit, and the workforce has made some notable additions to either side of the ball, headlined by first-round picks Aidan Hutchinson and Jameson Williams.

Worst groups ATS

  1. Carolina Panthers (5-12)
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-12)
  3. Chicago Bears (6-11)
  4. New York Giants (6-11)
  5. New York Jets (6-11)
  6. Atlanta Falcons (6-10-1)

All 4 of those groups discovered themselves close to the highest of the draft board this previous April. Effectively, the Bears weren’t, however that is solely as a result of they traded their 2022 first-round decide in a package deal to amass Justin Fields in 2021.

Fields enters his second yr with an alarmingly weak supporting solid. It could possibly be one other yr of fading Chicago.

Of the groups above, we might be most optimistic of the Jaguars being extra aggressive ATS with Doug Pederson on the town. 

Whereas Baker Mayfield is a greater quarterbacking choice for Carolina, it is price noting that Cleveland was 20-30-1 ATS over the previous three seasons with Mayfield beneath middle.

Greatest groups: Overs

  1. Minnesota Vikings (11-6)
  2. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (12-8)
  3. Los Angeles Chargers (10-7)
  4. New York Jets (10-7)
  5. Philadelphia Eagles (10-8)
  6. New England Patriots (10-8)

Minnesota has all of its offensive ability place gamers again, and the Vikings made a concerted effort to enhance their secondary this yr, which was fairly the wrongdoer in so steadily going over the full factors.

The Chargers and Eagles each additionally made notable additions to the defensive facet of the soccer to shore up some 2021 vulnerabilities.

Greatest groups: Unders

  1. Denver Broncos (12-5)
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars (12-5)
  3. New York Giants (11-5-1)
  4. Seattle Seahawks (10-6-1)
  5. Cincinnati Bengals (13-8)

At first, we might argue that the Broncos could also be going beneath much less steadily with Russell Wilson on the town, however you then see that Seattle additionally discovered itself on this record.

Chances are you’ll discover Cincinnati’s placement on this record curious, however with the Joe Burrow-Ja’Marr Chase duoe making waves, the Bengals’ totals began to develop into fairly inflated, thus reflecting this 13-8 mark towards the beneath.

Week 1 overlaps from 2021 tendencies

San Francisco 49ers (-7) at Chicago Bears
This can be a pure unfold to think about, even with Trey Lance beneath middle to begin the yr for San Francisco. These two groups are very a lot on reverse ends of the standard spectrum within the NFC, and there is each indication {that a} tough season is in retailer for the Bears. San Francisco was 8-4 ATS on the highway final season.

Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks: Over/beneath 44.5 factors (-115) Wilson’s homecoming is rapid, because the Broncos head to Seattle on “Monday Evening Soccer” this week. Two groups that went beneath in over 62% of their video games final season will meet in what’s a really modest whole. Whereas Wilson needs to be simpler this season and has stable weapons round him, the Seahawks’ incapacity to maintain up could support the beneath right here. Geno Smith is the starter this season, and the full factors by no means exceeded 43 factors in his 4 appearances final yr.

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